Sevilla will face Alavés at the beginning of the second half of the Spanish championship on Friday, January 12. The teams will take the field for a match scheduled to start at 3:00 pm (ET). Playing at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán stadium as the hosts, Sevilla enters as slight favorites in the bookmakers, with odds of -110 to win the match. On this page, you will find betting tips based on odds that we believe hold value in the betting market.
Sevilla
Sevilla’s last commitment was on Sunday, January 7, in the Copa del Rey, Spain’s national soccer cup. Sevilla secured their spot in the next round by defeating Racing de Ferrol 2-1 away from home. In that match, Sevilla’s head coach, Quique Sánchez Flores, fielded a full-strength team, not sparing key players such as Sergio Ramos, Óliver Torres, Suso, and Lucas Ocampos. The team is now focused on turning their fortunes around in LaLiga, where they find themselves in an unfavorable position.
Sevilla is currently in the lower half of the LaLiga 2023/24 standings, an unusual sight for the team. They enter the clash against Alavés in the 16th position with 16 points. Sevilla has a current record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a total of 23 goals scored and 27 conceded.
Additionally, Sevilla has not performed well in recent league results. In their last five matches, Sevilla won only one game against Granada, a team with a weak performance in the Spanish league this season. In the two previous LaLiga games against teams with better performances, Sevilla suffered defeats – 1-0 against Atlético Madrid and 2-0 against Athletic Club Bilbao.
Recent Results for Sevilla – LaLiga
- Mallorca 1 – 0 Sevilla
- Sevilla 0 – 3 Getafe
- Granada 0 – 3 Sevilla
- Atlético Madrid 1 – 0 Sevilla
- Sevilla 0 – 2 Athletic Club
In recent statistics, Sevilla has a performance in the Spanish soccer league with an average of 1.3% goals scored per game when playing at home and 1.5% goals conceded per game. When it comes to home games, Sevilla does not capitalize on the home advantage, with a home record of 2 wins against 4 losses. Furthermore, Sevilla has conceded 15 goals at their home ground, which is not ideal for a team seeking recovery.
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Alavés
Deportivo Alavés is a team competing directly with Sevilla, with both teams having similar objectives at the moment. Alavés is one position ahead of Sevilla in the LaLiga table, currently in 15th place with 17 points. However, they come from a negative record in their recent matches.
Alavés has not won in LaLiga since November 24 when they defeated Granada 3-1 – a victory that might not carry much weight given Granada’s desperate situation. However, Alavés has shown strength in the Copa del Rey, eliminating Real Betis 1-0 last weekend and securing a spot in the round of 16 of the Spanish National Cup.
In LaLiga, Alavés has a record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, scoring 15 goals and conceding 25, resulting in a negative goal difference of -10. The schedule is tough for Alavés, facing Sevilla away from home is always challenging, regardless of the situation, and in the midweek following this match, on January 16, Alavés visits Athletic Club in the Copa del Rey, also on the road.
Recent Results for Deportivo Alavés – LaLiga
- Mallorca 0 – 0 Alavés
- Alavés 0 – 1 Las Palmas
- Girona 3 – 0 Alavés
- Alavés 0 – 1 Real Madrid
- Real Sociedad 1 – 1 Alavés
In the current statistics for Deportivo Alavés in LaLiga, the team has an average performance of 0.5% goals scored per game as visitors and 1.4% goals conceded per game away. Alavés is seeking its first away win, with a record of 4 draws and 6 losses, conceding 14 goals and scoring only 5 – a significantly lower performance, which does not inspire confidence among their supporters.
Sevilla vs. Alavés: Predictions and Betting Tips
Analyzing the odds in the betting market, the home team Sevilla enters as favorites. However, bettors may consider that Sevilla’s odds are somewhat high in the main victory line, priced at -110 to win the match at the bet365 sportsbook. On the other side, we have the underdogs Alavés with odds priced at +333 to moneyline (bet365).
This game is a direct battle for both teams to climb out of the bottom of the league. Alavés’ negative record significantly influences this match for bettors to support the underdogs, especially considering that Sevilla is likely to field the same lineup as in the last Copa del Rey match. My pick for this game is that bettors should take Sevilla to win with odds of -110; this could be the turning point for Sevilla to start climbing the league table, as they are not facing a stronger opponent. It would be a different story if they were up against a top LaLiga team.
For the goal market, the Under 2.5 line catches my attention, with both teams consistently being under in the season. Sevilla has had 53% of their matches meeting the Under 2.5 criteria, and Alavés has 74% of their games in the Spanish league falling under the same category.
Odds for the Under 2.5 market at the bet365 sportsbook are offered for -167, which is acceptable for two teams with recent low-scoring performances. Our additional betting tip is for the Under 2.5 goals market with odds of -167.
- Prediction: Sevilla moneyline odds -110
- Extra Prediction: Under 2.5 goals odds -167
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