American tennis player Tommy Paul is in the third round at the 2024 Australian Open. He will face Miomir Kecmanovic, an unseeded player, in an upcoming match. Paul is favored in the match at -250 (bet365). However, I don’t think that bettors can have full confidence in the American in this contest. My Paul vs Kecmanovic prediction is that the latter player will win this upcoming match.
Schedule: Right-click/Open in the New Tab to check match times: subject to change
Tommy Paul vs Miomir Kecmanovic Head-to-Head Series
The Paul vs Kecmanovic h2h is 1-3 in favor of the Serbian. They met in the 2023 season, with Paul securing his only victory in the series in Cincinnati. That match did take place at a time when Tommy Paul was playing his best in the 2023 season. Kecmanovic has won all of their previous matches, including a straight-sets victory at the 2022 Australian Open. Their sets were close that day but the Serbian claimed a 7-6, 7-5, 7-6 victory over the American in the round of 64.
Paul has been a bit flat over the last 4-5 months. The Stormcrow match might have been the loss to Ben Shelton at the US Open. Heading into the match, Paul was favored. You have to wonder if losing such an important match had a long-term negative effect on Paul.
After the US Open, he lost a couple of Davis Cup matches that he should not have lost. He didn’t do much with the balance of the tournaments in 2023. For his Aussie warmup, Paul was in Adelaide where he lost as a favorite to Jack Draper. Paul avenged that loss in the second round of the Aussie but there still isn’t much to point to that suggests the American is near his best tennis right now.
Kecmanovic, for his part, isn’t playing that well at the Aussie. He is into the third round as a survivor from a weak quartet in the opening rounds.
The Draw: Right-click/Open in the New Tab for the draw for the Melbourne Park 2024
Paul vs Kecmanovic Prediction: Kecmanovic +200
Bettors should go with Kecmanovic in this one at +200 (bet365). I don’t think the 3-1 head-to-head record, including the win at the 2022 Australian Open, can be ignored. There’s reason to be skeptical of each player but the plus odds call for the bets here on the moneyline.
Kecmanovic vs Paul prediction: Draw at Melbourne Park 2024
The winner of this match does not have a great outlook in the tournament. That player will presumably be at a stop sign with Carlos Alcaraz in the next round, the No. 2 seed in the tournament. Alcaraz is -3300 to win his third-round match.
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