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Medvedev vs Rublev Prediction: 2023 US Open

by Shane Lambert

Daniil Medvedev will face Andrey Rublev at the 2023 US Open on Wednesday, September 6th, 2023. This is a quarterfinal match between two Russian nationals. Medvedev, a former World No. 1, has had a more successful career to this point. Rublev will be trying to break a streak of quarterfinal losses in majors, one that dates back a little while now. My Medvedev vs Rublev prediction is that the former takes this match down.

Medvedev vs Rublev Head-to-Head Series

Medvedev has enjoyed more success in this head-to-head series. He is 5-2 against Rublev heads up. All of their matches have been played on the hard court surface. Their most recent match came from the Dubai final earlier this season. Medvedev dispatched Rublev 6-2, 6-2 in the final.

When you isolate outdoor hard-court matches, Medvedev is 4-1 against Rublev. When you isolate Grand Slams, not only is Medvedev 2-0 against Rublev but he is 6-0 in the sets played. Rublev might find some confidence in the fact he has won two of their last three matches. However, in the matches Medvedev has won, he has won fairly routinely. Conversely, when Rublev won, it was a difficult contest.

Medvedev vs Rublev Prediction: Medvedev Advances

When you look at these two players and their head-to-head series, you have to ask if we are going to see a one-sided match or one where Rublev battles tooth-and-nail to make things close. Rublev is 0-8 in his Grand Slam quarterfinal matches in the past.

In his US Open quarterfinal losses, he is 0-9 in sets played — which is shocking. Perhaps equally shocking is the fact that Rublev is just 3-24 in sets played in all eight of his previous Grand Slam quarterfinals combined. It’s very clear that this player is usually out of gas at this point in a Grand Slam draw. Either that, or he is over his head against the top talent on tour.

Rublev is priced at +200 on the moneyline (bet365), odds that look way too short. Medvedev at -250 can be the only way to go. Not only is he 5-2 against Rublev but Medvedev is 6-1 for this round of a Grand Slam draw. A Rublev victory in this match would be out of the blue.

Schedule: Stadium start times and match times

The Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev 2023 US Open match is to be played on Wednesday. At the time of writing, the match-time was pending. Check the schedule of play.

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