Adrian Mannarino defeated Albert Ramos-Vinolas on Wednesday at ATP Sofia 2023 in Bulgaria. Next, Mannarino will face Sebastian Ofner at the tennis event, a match that is expected to be on Thursday’s order of play. This will be a quarterfinal match in the tournament, a 250-level competition on the ATP Tour that is also known as the 2023 Sofia Open. My Mannarino vs Ofner prediction is that the former will win this match.
Schedule of Play: Right-click/Open in the New Tab to check match times: subject to change
Adrian Mannarino vs Sebastian Ofner Head-to-Head Series
These two players have met one time in a tour-level match. The Mannarino vs Ofner h2h is at 1-0 in favor of the former player. Mannarino defeated Ofner not long ago, in the semifinals of the 2023 Astana draw. This was a tournament that Mannarino ended up winning as one of the highlights of his season. Their match in Astana, like the one in Sofia will be, was played indoors on the hard-court surface. It was not a competitive match with Mannarino winning 6-4, 6-2.
Ofner is through to the quarterfinals behind two three-set victories. He actually has a penchant for winning big points on tour. When judged in terms of “Under Pressure” points/games/sets, the No. 1 player on tour is Novak Djokovic according to the ATP Stats. Ofner, despite a ranking of World No. 44, is the No. 2 player from this perspective. He wins a lot of tiebreakers, he wins a lot of deciding sets, he saves a lot of breakpoints, and he converts a lot of breakpoints.
But Mannarino is the higher-ranked player. This season, he has so far converted 47.7% of his break-point chances. That actually leads the ATP: he is the outright leader from this perspective.
The Draw: Right-click/Open in the New Tab for the draw for the 2023 Sofia Open
Mannarino vs Ofner Prediction: Mannarino to win
The difference in this match could be fatigue. Mannarino had a bye through the first round. Then he defeated Ramos-Vinolas 6-4, 6-4. While Ofner has played well this week, his draw has been soft through qualifier Vitaliy Sachko and then Christopher O’Connell. Mannarino at -225 is the bet to make in this match. It just cannot be ignored that he defeated Ofner 12 games to 6 for a straight-sets win just over a month ago. Take the French veteran at -225 (bet365).
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