Sebastian Korda was buzzing for a title earlier this month. However, he fell short in two events, including the 2023 Shanghai Masters. After a week off last week, Korda will try to resume his strong form in Switzerland this week. In his opening match, Korda will face Tomas Martin Etcheverry at the 2023 ATP Basel tennis event. This is a match that bettors will want to tread lightly around for reasons that I will explain in this article. My Korda vs Etcheverry prediction is that Korda wins fewer than 12.5 games in the upcoming match.
Schedule of Play: Right-click/Open in the New Tab to check match times: subject to change
Sebastian Korda vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry Head-to-Head Series
These two players have faced one another twice on tour. Both results are from the recent past. Korda beat Etcheverry in Zhuhai about a month ago and in Toronto in early August. The American won both matches in straight sets.
That will definitely have some reaching for the moneyline on Korda or even a straight-sets victory. But the American is priced short for this match. His moneyline odds are -450 (bet365).
This is a match where bettors need to watch Korda carefully. Since September 22nd, Korda has played in thirteen matches on tour. A fair number of them were competitive three-set contests. He has defeated a lot of players who are better than Etcheverry, including Ben Shelton, Francisco Cerundolo, and Daniil Medvedev.
However, there is a chance that Korda is worse for wear. Thirteen matches are quite a few to play in a one-month time frame. If he was worse for wear, there’s also a chance that no one outside of his camp would know it. But Korda does enter the Basel first round having been on rest since October 14th. That’s a fair chunk of days off that would have taken care of most of the niggling kind of minor injuries tennis players deal with.
The Draw: Right-click/Open in the New Tab for the draw for the 2023 Swiss Indoors Basel
Korda vs Etcheverry Prediction: Korda wins UNDER 12.5 games
If Korda is smooth in this match, then it’s definitely his to claim. Furthermore, he would be a factor for the entire tournament in Basel, not just the early-round contests. But at -450, Korda isn’t a great pick (bet365). My recommendation is to take UNDER 12.5 games won for Korda at EVEN odds (bet365).
The bet can still win if he advances in straight sets at 6-4, 6-4, or more efficiently. Also, it can win if Etcheverry catches Korda at less than 100%. But I think a healthy and fit Korda is into at least the semifinals in this draw. This is a match to be aware of for the entire tournament’s betting complexion for sure.
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