Karen Khachanov is the favorite to claim the title at the 2024 ATP Doha tournament this weekend. In an upcoming match, he will face Jakub Mensik for the title at the 2024 WTA Dubai tennis tournament (also known as the 2024 Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships). Khachanov is priced at -250 on the moneyline to beat Mensik with bet365 sportsbook. My Khachanov vs Mensik prediction is that there will be a tiebreaker in this match.
Schedule: Right-click/Open in the New Tab to check match times: subject to change
Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik Head-to-Head Series
The Khachanov vs Mensik h2h is 0-0 as these two players have not faced one another before. For rankings, this is the World No. 17, Khachanov, against the World No. 116. Khachanov has won 5 ATP titles in the past while Mensik has yet to win one. However, Khachanov has been around for quite a lot longer as he is 27 years old facing the 18-year-old Mensik.
Mensik is 4-0 in the Doha draw following a win in the last round against Gael Monfils. Thus far in the tournament, Mensik is 8-2 on sets played. Not only did he drop one to Monfils but Mensik lost a set to Andy Murray earlier in the draw. The match against Murray is the only one where Mensik was a favorite in the Doha tournament. He managed to take out the top seed in the event, Andrey Rublev, in straight sets in the quarterfinals. Mensik did lose in the last round from a points perspective. Monfils outscored Mensik 80-78 but didn’t get the games he needed for the victory.
Khachanov has seen limited action this week. He started the tournament with a bye and has gone 5-0 on sets played through the last three rounds. He won his quarterfinal via retirement, which has lightened his workload so far this week, in addition to the bye also helping to do that.
The Draw: Right-click/Open in the New Tab for the draw for the 2024 Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships
Khachanov vs Mensik Prediction: OVER 0.5 tiebreakers
I think this is a good match to bet on there being a tiebreaker at +110 (bet365). Both players served well in the last round, hitting a reasonable number of aces each. Furthermore, they combined for just one double fault in the semifinals, meaning each player will have to earn their break points in the final.
Khachanov’s odds are too short at -250 to back him, noting that his opponent did beat some quality players en route to the final. But +200 isn’t quite where you need the odds on Mensik, noting that this could be a match where he has some nervousness. But I think each player will rely on their serve to hold court and that should lead to some parity between the two. Take OVER 0.5 tiebreakers in the match at odds of +110 (bet365).
Mensik vs Khachanov prediction: Draw at the 2024 Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships
Khachanov looks like he will be up to No. 15 win or lose in the men’s singles final from Doha. Meanwhile, Mensik will crack the Top 100 for what you have to think will be an extended stay, given his youth. He should be in the Top 90 on Monday with about the World No. 75 at stake if he can win the title. That kind of ranking will help him avoid some qualifying draws going forward while also helping him get a seed in some of the smaller events.
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