The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets will meet in the stand-alone game for Major League Baseball on Sunday, August 13th, 2023. Our Braves vs Mets prediction factors in the short-term form for each team. As it looks from a statistical perspective, the Braves should be considered significant favorites in this contest. But they enter Sunday as just mild -130 moneyline favorites with bet365 sportsbook.
Braves vs Mets Prediction: Recent Form
The Mets appear to be at the start of a freefall. They were sellers at the trade deadline, their season was considered a write-off before then, and they were awful on Friday and Saturday.
The Atlanta Braves enter Sunday on the verge of a four-game sweep over New York, who should be ashamed of their atrocious play this weekend. The Mets are -31 against Atlanta on run differential through the first three games of the series, which is absolutely egregious. You might think that the two teams played a one-sided gridiron football game as opposed to three baseball games. MLB fans simply don’t see that kind of one-sided scoring in Major League Baseball too often at all.
New York Mets: Recent Form Alert
- Formerly: 42 – 48 on July 14th, 2023
- Currently: 52 – 65 (overall)
- Recent form: 10 – 17 since July 14th, 2023
- Recent winning rate: .370
The chart above shows that the Mets have played .370 baseball since the All-Star break. The Braves have not been at their very best over the same time frame. However, the three wins for Atlanta have been a nice uptick for the Braves. They should be very keen to complete this four-game sweep to keep their adversaries buried in the standings.
Final Thoughts: OVER/UNDER for Total Runs is Better
The game gets tricky because you have to think that pride will factor in for the Mets. That’s a very ambiguous and qualitative variable to bet on. However, it’s human. The way the Mets have looked like novices lately, they won’t be happy to lose a nationally televised game in their home park.
The Mets could be presented as having the starting pitching edge. Kodai Senga has better stats that his opposing pitcher, Yonny Chirious.
But what this game really looks like is that it calls for a bet on the OVER for total runs. That has been set at 9.5 with +100 on the OVER side of things. The Braves’ bats have been alive in this series. Meanwhile, you can expect New York to have energy that should transfer to some increased offense. Take the OVER in this one at +100 for OVER 9.5 total runs. The start time on Sunday evening is 7:10 PM ET.