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Soccer Predictions Monza vs Fiorentina, Picks and Odds

by joaobitencourte

Monza and Fiorentina take the field this Friday as part of a four-game schedule in the Italian championship. The seventeenth round features the clash between Monza and Fiorentina, with the match set to kick off at 2:45 pm (ET) at the U-Power stadium, Monza’s home ground. Here, you will find betting tips and predictions, along with recent performances for Monza vs. Fiorentina in Serie A.

Monza

The Monza team heads into the game following a 3-0 defeat to Milan last Sunday in the league. It was an away game, and Monza has struggled away from their home stadium, suffering four losses as visitors. Additionally, they faced the current third-placed team in the Italian league, Milan.

However, Monza is back on their turf, currently occupying the 10th position in the Serie A standings with 21 points. The team’s season record includes 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal difference of -1. Monza has scored 16 goals and conceded 17. Their last three-point haul in Serie A came when they played at home and defeated Genoa 1-0. Before that, they had two draws and two losses.

In recent statistics, Monza has an average goal performance of 1.25 goals scored per game at home and 0.63 goals conceded per game at their stadium. Monza tends to be a low-scoring team, with only 31% of their games being Over 2.5, and 69% falling below the Under 2.5 line.

Recent Results for Monza – Serie A

  • Monza 1 – Torino
  • Cagliari 1 – 1 Monza
  • Monza 1 – 2 Juventus
  • Monza 1 – 0 Genoa
  • Milan 3 – 0 Monza

In recent injury news for Monza, only Gianluca Caprari is expected to be sidelined due to injury.

Probable Monza Lineup:

  • Di Gregorio; D’Ambrosio, Caldirola, Carboni; Pedro Pereira, Gagliardini, Pessina, Kyriakopoulos; Colpani, Colombo, Dany Mota

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Fiorentina

Fiorentina finds themselves in a more comfortable position in the league and will travel from Florence to Monza with the possibility of reaching the fourth position in the Serie A table. Currently, Fiorentina is in 6th place with 27 points, tied with Napoli in 5th place, and just one point behind Bologna in 4th place with 28 points. Depending on their result and the outcomes of other matches, they could surpass these two teams in the round.

Fiorentina comes into the match after a narrow 1-0 home victory against Verona in the previous league round. Their overall campaign consists of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. The team has shown consistency in their results, losing only one of their last 5 Serie A matches. Additionally, Fiorentina has a decent away record, securing three wins and two draws on the road.

Similar to Monza, Fiorentina does not appear to be a team that favors high-scoring matches. In recent statistics, their average goals scored per away game is 1.38, while the average goals conceded per game on the road is 1.25. Looking at the Over/Under lines for Fiorentina, they have a 50% occurrence for both Over and Under 2.5 goals in their matches.

Recent Results for Fiorentina – Serie A

  • Fiorentina 2 – 1 Bologna
  • Milan 1 – 0 Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina 3 – 0 Salernitana
  • Roma 1 – 1 Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina 1 – 0 Verona

For this Friday’s match, Fiorentina will be without one of their key players, Giacomo Bonaventura, who is not expected to travel with the team to Monza. Additionally, Martinez Quarta and Comuzzo are sidelined due to illness.

Probable Fiorentina Lineup:

  • Terracciano; Kayode, Milenkovic, Ranieri, Biraghi; Arthur, Duncan; Ikoné, Barak, Kouame; Beltran

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Monza vs. Fiorentina: Predictions and Betting Tips

Analyzing the odds in the betting market for the Monza vs. Fiorentina encounter, the home team Monza has odds of +170 to win the match at bet365, while Fiorentina has odds of +155 for moneyline. For the main betting line on the final result, my suggestion is for bettors to stay away. Instead, I recommend taking the Under Goals line, considering it’s a closely contested match, especially with Fiorentina missing some key players. These teams have demonstrated low-scoring results so far, relying more on possession and capitalizing on opponents’ mistakes than on offensive play. Take the Under 2.5 goals line with odds at -137 at bet365.

  • Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals odds -137

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